In article ,
TudorHgh writes:
If the broadscale circulation is
stuck in a groove that brings persistent relatively warm SW'lies to our
corner of Europe then it is virtually certain the somewhere about half a
wavelength downstream will be getting weather persistently colder than
average.

Some clear-headed logic! We know our winters have been warmer in the
last 15 yrs or so, but are figures available for other mid-latitude places, eg
America, Russia which might show how their winters have changed, if at all, in
a similar period? This comparison could tell us a lot. I'd do it myself but
am not quite sure where to look.

My subjective impression is that there seems to have been a tendency for
colder than average winters in recent years in the Turkey/Balkans
region, with the favoured location of the Highs that bring us
south-westerlies bringing them northerlies or north-easterlies. But I
could very easily be wrong.
--
John Hall Weep not for little Leonie
Abducted by a French Marquis!
Though loss of honour was a wrench
Just think how it's improved her French. Harry Graham (1874-1936)