Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0549, New Year's Day 2006.
The models show a trough crossing the UK towards the end of the week with
rain likely in most places. There's still an outside chance of a brief
easterly interlude (eg the operational GFS) but most of the models keep the
cold air away from the UK.
ECMWF:
http://217.160.75.104/pics/Recm1201.gif
A ridge lies to the west and a trough covers East Anglia and SE England,
leading to northerlies for most. The ridge builds over the UK at T+144 to
bring light winds for many areas; the exceptions are Northern Ireland and NW
Scotland which lie under SW'lies. Southerlies associated with a trough over
Ireland affect much of the UK at T+168.
MetO:
http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rukm1201.gif
Unavailable today.
GFS:
http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rtavn1201.png
England and Wales lie under easterlies due to a ridge from a large high over
NW Russia. Scotland and Northern Ireland are affected by southerlies,
followed by a mixture of southerlies and SE'lies at T+144 as a trough moves
in from the west. By T+168 southerlies and SSW'lies cover the UK with a deep
low to the WSW.
GEM:
http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The Canadian output shows a trough over the North Sea and WSW'lies across
the UK.
GME/DWD:
http://www.wetter.com/home/img/sat/g...010000_120.gif
DWD shows a trough over the UK with westerlies for most areas. Another
trough moves over the UK at T+144 with SW'lies in advance and westerlies
following behind.
JMA:
http://217.160.75.104/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run shows southerlies for most due to a trough over Ireland.
Winds become light and variable at T+144 as a ridge builds over the UK.
NOGAPS:
http://217.160.75.104/pics/ngp10.prp.120.europeg.gif
A trough lies over the Irish Sea, resulting in westerlies for Northern
Ireland and SSW'lies elsewhere.
KMA:
http://www.kma.go.kr/kma03/gif/g21nh_smsr_120.gif
The Korean run shows a ridge over England and Wales bringing light winds.
Elsewhere winds are SW'lies.