"Col" wrote Well bearing in mind that this is 8 days away and probably
won't
happen anyway, there will always be some excuse, the wind
direction wasn't *quite* right, the SST's were too high, the strong
late Feb sunshine melted all the snow..........

Funny how it always turns out to be *warmer* than was forecast, never the
other way round.

Is there any reason for this? From my scant knowledge of statistics, I
would have thought that there would have been a proportion of the early
runs that should go the other way. Or am I missing something obvious?

- Tom.