"Will Hand" wrote in
:

but these are likely to struggle more
against a more intense block than last time due to:

1. Radiation balanace
2. Cold air advection from the north to the east of the high
3. Orientation and lack of a strong westerly flow coming out if the
States unlike last time

Will - you missed the most important factor:

4. Richard being out of the country.

Cheers
Richard