I remember when I was younger, late 70's and early 80's (too young early
70's) it always seemed to me it ended up colder than forecast, now a days it
does seem to be the other way round.

Stan

"Col" wrote in message
...

"Tom Bennett" wrote in message
...
"Col" wrote Well bearing in mind that this is 8 days away and probably
won't
happen anyway, there will always be some excuse, the wind
direction wasn't *quite* right, the SST's were too high, the strong
late Feb sunshine melted all the snow..........

Funny how it always turns out to be *warmer* than was forecast, never
the
other way round.

Is there any reason for this? From my scant knowledge of statistics, I
would have thought that there would have been a proportion of the early
runs that should go the other way. Or am I missing something obvious?

The fact that the media continually over-hype the forecasts?

ducks

Col
--
Bolton, Lancashire.
160m asl.
http://www.reddwarfer.btinternet.co.uk