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Old January 10th 06, 11:55 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Pete B Pete B is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jan 2006
Posts: 2
Default Today's model interpretation (10/01/06)

"Gavin Staples" wrote in message
...

"Darren Prescott" wrote in message
...
Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Saturday. Issued
0550, 10 Jan 06.

The models show a mobile setup for the weekend with a deep Icelandic low
and high pressure to the east. Troughs are likely to cross the UK and all
areas will see rain at some stage, heaviest in the west. The rain will be
accompanied by strong winds at times and temperatures will be on the mild
side of average in the main. Beyond the weekend there are no signs of a
change, with the ECM and GFS ensembles bullish about maintaining a mobile
flow over the UK. Indeed, the operational GFS decays the block to the
east, allowing the westerlies to blast all the way into Russia.



So thats it for another winter. Here's to another mild winter.


Once that kind of extensive zonal/mobile pattern develops at this stage of
"winter", my thoughts just turn towards "roll on spring". Winters of eg,
1974/1989/1990 come to mind as similar examples of such events after
promising early stages.

Still the UKMO, did not forecast a
colder than average winter, just that there was a greater than evens chance
of there being one.

--
Pete

Please take my dog out twice to e-mail

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