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Old January 21st 06, 04:56 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Nigel Morgan Nigel Morgan is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 90
Default ECM T+168 DT 00Z 21/1/06

On Sat, 21 Jan 2006 15:23:00 -0000, "Will Hand"
inspired by Deep Thought wrote:


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This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
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http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten/fsecmeur.html

Click on 500mb height charts.

Classic well-established omega block with SE England in cold quarter.
If that comes off, spells of heavy snow for SE England.

Will.


Very interesting scenario it is! I'm not so sure we'll get much snow this far
inland (High Wycombe) as most of the precipitation brought about by the "lake
effect" of the North Sea will have dropped over Essex & Kent by the time it
reaches us. No doubt we'll get a dusting or two though!

Interestingly, GFS shows the low further south-east and less deep, but I agree
the south-east is on a knife-edge where the VERY cold pool of air over central
Europe is concerned. The +276h 850mB map shows -10C air over the sout-east tip.
I know the accuracy this far ahead is low, but if it pans out, it could be VERY
cold for Essex & Kent with significant snowfall & drifting in a strong
north/north-east wind! Don't put the thermal underwear away yet!

Nigel

Aagh! Every time I learn something new... it pushes something old out of my brain!