"Adrian D. Shaw" wrote in message
...
Felly sgrifennodd Adrian D. Shaw :
Felly sgrifennodd Stuart :
(suggest you go and read the original text, re-posted by Will recently

Do you have a link to this?

OK I went and found it, posted by Will on Jan 14th:

= Here is what the Met Office actually predicted, taken from their web
= site today 14/1/06

=" The Met Office continues to predict a two in three chance of a
= colder-than-average winter for much of Europe. If this holds true,
parts of
=the UK - especially southern regions - are expected to have temperatures
=below normal. There is also an indication for a drier-than-average
winter
=over much of the UK.

=The last eight winters have been relatively mild and perhaps have given
the
= impression that these are 'normal'. The balance of probability is for a
=winter colder than those experienced since 1995/6. "

The Met Office were dead right about the colder than average winter for
much
of Europe, which they predicted at 2/3 chance.

They did not, however, make ANY probability predicion regarding either the
length of, nor the severity of, any effect from this in southern UK.
There was (so I'm told; I was in central Europe at the time, suffering the
cold and enjoying the snow) a spell of cold weather in the south-east
recently, which I assume can be attibuted to the central European cold. So
they arguably got that right too.


Thanks for that Adrian, I must hold my hands up and say I was wrong.

This is the first time I have seen the Met Office's forecast issued last
Autumn, undoubtedly I was going of the media's interpretation of the Met
Office forecast that back in November were indicating a winter to end all
winters (along with no Gas, Bird Flue and electricity cuts.

I wonder if I will ever learn not to watch the news or read newspapers!