Thread: Model delusion
View Single Post
  #9   Report Post  
Old January 25th 06, 07:26 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Buzz Buzz is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Nov 2005
Posts: 26
Default Model delusion


"Will Hand" wrote in message
...

"Dave.C" wrote in message
...
Some of us on here (and I include myself) and certainly on TWO avidly
watch
the models for trends of cold weather. I have come to the conclusion that
we
have been largely deluding ourselves since November with the illusive
cold
spell always seemingly two weeks away. "All the ingredients are there".
But
aren't they always in reality? Well very soon two weeks away will be too
late. It is clear that last week and current have come very close to
something special. No doubt the conditions over most of NW Europe were
those which the Met Office thought might come close to the UK in their
colder than average forecast for Europe.
It will be interesting to see if Will's boundless optimism will continue
tomorrow. I hope so.


Dave, I'm looking forward to a bit of snow up here on Dartmoor on Friday
and
Saturday associated with the cold pool, poss a few flakes too for you in
the SE
but beyond that, to be honest I can't see that much snow (not on low
ground
anyway). But that's only after a very brief look, I should be doing my
usual
forecast tomorrow after looking at things a little more closely.

Perhaps we will be all kissing our sisters goodnight next week! LOL.

(Actually I don't have a sister, which might be a good thing :-) )

Seriously what's really really worrying me is that if this dry weather
continues
then you in the SE will be facing one hell of a summer as regards water
supply
:-(

Will.
--

" Ah yet another day to enjoy "
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).

mailto:
www:
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm

DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------



What worries me more is the fact that mother nature tends be good at
balancing the books! Summer 2006 could well be forgetable!

Regards

SB