Hi Will,
Thanks for the update.
From what little I know, the 12z ECM and METO look good, but only in the
longer range zone... 120T onwards where they show much more of a colder,
continental feed (more Easterly), only my opinion.
In the shorter term , say Monday, I feel the winds will be too Northerly
(NE-NNE, lots of sea track), so maybe not cold enough for lying snow.
This is all due to that high pressure that loves to sit somewhere to our
S\SW, backing into our lovely Low, somewhere to the S\SE, and the models
always struggle to see it at the longer range ;( . But definately a big
denominator to why we see so many good loking setups come crashing down to
nothing now.
Ok, of course it's alwasy been like that! , but seems to be a stronger
factor, more conssitent in GW times.
Like you say, some very interesting weather coming up. Nice to see.
Danny.
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"Will Hand" wrote in message
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"nguk" wrote in message
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This posting expresses the personal view and opinions of the author.
Something which everyone on this planet should be able to do.
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Well I'm pretty sure that folk won't be kissing their sisters
goodnight in
the
SE on Monday :-)
Classic snow situation developing; cold air undercutting an existing
rainband,
lowering wet-bulb freezing levels, but will the cold air undercut fast
enough? I
personally still think it will. No changes to my forecast. Confidence
still
moderate.

Will.
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Local forecast going for snow on higher ground only
with a sleety mix on tuesday 5-6c



Was any measure of confidence expressed in that local forecast Neil?

Will.
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