The Countryfile forecast on Sunday 8th January 2005. Not highlighted
with the necessary models of fronts and occlusions but the fellow did
show some, briefly.
But before that, here is one I prepared earlier:
Weatherlawyer wrote:
31 DEC. 03:12. That's a thundery spell and in keeping with the BBC's
forecast for heavy prolonged snow. It usually gets warm and humid for a
thundery spell like this coming one.
So the classic adage might prove true that it is warm enough to snow. As a side
note, the isobars seem to be deepening and the last 6+M quake we had was on
the 23rd if you don't count the 5.7 on the 26th which was blipped briefly at a 6 odd.
So if you know of any newsgroups in earthquake areas tell them to keep
awake over the next week and some.
A slightly active period, mid fives mostly. The pressure dropped an inch and
produced warmer weather. Now rising it is sunny and cool. Another front
coming and it looks like the sort we has a run of, a January or so back.
Well it looks like I got that one wrong doesn't it. Good job I put the
planet on alert at least.
Pity I can't remember what happened. Unusually warm winter weather, I think.
Or was it the year before that?
It was the mildest winter on record IIRC. Was that really 2 years ago?
Be that as it may the weather changed to a full on wet spell last
Saturday and the spell to follow this is substantially the same.
After which the same type of weather we had from the 31st Dec last, is
set to return so be warned:
JAN. 6 18:56
JAN. 14 09:48 = wet weather, with either long lasting low pressure
areas, or many smaller lows -and concomitant warmth and:
JAN. 22 15:14 = what aught to be warm and humid weather with some
breeze or a chance of thunder. However there is a danger yet again of
severe seismic activity.
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/data/docs/MoonPhase.html#y2006
In the meantime I imagine the list of quakes on the NEIC tables should
quieten over the next two weeks. As you can see, the quiescence has
already started -with only the quakes in the USA being reported:
2006/01/08
2.5 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS., ALASKA
3.2 ALASKA PENINSULA
2.7 BRISTOL BAY
3.2 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
2.8 KENAI PENINSULA, ALASKA
2006/01/07
2.8 ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS., ALASKA
3.1 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII
2.7 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS, ALASKA
5.2 ALASKA PENINSULA
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/recenteqs...uakes_all.html
The chances are that this list will change as it is upgraded by
different teams or because the US quakes are on a different server to
the ones from the rest of the world.
This should have been posted to Alt.talk.weather via Google newsgroups
about 9am. However it got lost in the post as have not a few others
earlier. (I am glad I saved this.)
The long range Farming type forecast showed two cloud banks, commas,
had moved over the UK bringing sleet to the south, clearing in the
evening but bringing frost to the north with fog in the midlands.
He promised a deep low for Tuesday saying it was the first of them.
Well if that isn't a signal for more quakes I don't know anything.
Anyway strong winds even Gales in Scotland but warm eh?
A bit brighter late on Wednesday as the next system "winds up" but
some uncertainty for Thursday. So that sounds even more like a large
quake. I can't imagine it will be more than an high 6 though because
of being so close to the last two Mag 7s.
Edit:
I finished writing this as the news started at 18:05 Sunday evening at
18:16 they showed a clip of a video taken when a 6.9 hit Athens.