HI Larry,

In article ,
WXAMERICA wrote:
} While an academic person might understand the meaning of percentage chances of
} a hurricane strike, "Joe Public" does not. I have no objection to
} "climatological chances" being posted, but the "seasonal predictions" have
} dubious if not negative value.

This is a good point, though a different one, I think, than that of the
original article. In both cases the concern is over misinterpretation of
the numbers. I think you are right that the seasonal predictions are
both less accurate and more likely to be misused, if for no other reason
than they get more attention.

peace,

-*-
Charles M. Kozierok )
Co-moderator, ne.weather.moderated (news:ne.weather.moderated)
Join us for weather info and discussion in a civil, low-noise environment.
Contact me for assistance in having ne.weather.moderated added to your server.


--
This article was auto-posted by the ne.weather.moderated Weatherbot
program. The author is solely responsible for its content.

ne.weather.moderated FAQ/Charter: http://www.panix.com/~newm/faq.txt
ne.weather.moderated moderators e-mail:
(Please put "wx" or "weather" in the subject line to avoid the spam block.)