On 5/20/04 8:40 AM, in article , "Charles M.
Kozierok" wrote:

The Pentagon's Weather Nightmare

Growing evidence suggests the
ocean-atmosphere system that controls the world's climate can lurch from
one state to another in less than a decade—like a canoe that's
gradually tilted until suddenly it flips over.

Though triggered by warming, such change would probably cause cooling in
the Northern Hemisphere, leading to longer, harsher winters in much of
the U.S. and Europe.

I heard about this a couple of months ago. Coincidentally, someone
suggested I read "Greenhouse Summer" by Norman Spinrad (published in 1999).
This plot also revolved around global warming, but with conditions opposite
what the Pentagon study predicts.

Most of the US becomes arid desert. Melting ice causes the oceans to rise
30 feet(!). Siberia becomes one of the world's garden spots. etc. etc.

The story is pretty good, the climatology is silly, but the final point
(about climate modeling) may be a valid one.

- Steve Stein



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