On Tue, 23 Dec 2003 05:41:11 +0000 (UTC), in sci.geo.earthquakes, "Michael
McNeil" wrote:
Now you see it now you don't, then you see it:
2003/12/21 07:40:45 0.75S 20.60W 10.0 6.6 CENTRAL MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE
This appeared on the http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/bulletin.html
page on Sunday, on Monday it disappeared, now it appears to appear.
I dare-say some of you may be aware that I pointed out (on numerous
occasions) that the forecasting of a deepish low in the region of
Northern Britain and(stroke)or (ahem!) Norway would indicate large
earthquakes or some similar activity elsewhere on the planet.
Apophenia. and if you can't see that. some sort of weekly occurrence
triggers all events.
Too many other event fall outside you non-speific windows.
and the windows are large enough that any event could happen.
IIRC there are about 160-170 6.5 events per year. One could pick any 3 day
windows and have a decent chance of predicted an 6.5 event someplace in
world. Take a 6 day window and it will almost a sure thing.
IF I was to predict a 6.5 event within 6 months of a lunar eclipse, I would
be almost 100% chances of being correct.
--
Aktohdi