In sci.geo.meteorology I R A Darth Aggie wrote:
On 2 Feb 2004 07:30:28 -0600,
Brian Sandle , in
wrote:
+ So if ozone is correlated to the solar cycle, and shuttle flights
+ are correlated to ozone, then shuttle flights must be correlated to
+ the solar cycle - more troubles so fewer flights in higher solar
+ activity?
Welcome to the Correlation Trap. You can probably find a correlation
between solar activity and your favorite stock market. Does that mean
you should use the solar cycle to plan your investment strategy?
Probably. Also in predicting weather.
What do you think of my example on another article using partial correlation
to get some idea of likely lack of causation?
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