On Tue, 31 Aug 2004 21:53:17 -0500, wrote:


"AminoSC" wrote in message
...
I live in Charleston, South Carolina. What are the chances of Frances
taking a hurricane Hugo track?

A couple of the models have it doing that, according to the 11 pm update.
Most have it hitting Florida, though.

Jason

The upper level flow still looks pretty zonal meaning systems north of
30N are moving east and systems south of 30 north are moving west
across the gulf. I think the models that have Frances turning north
are relying on the coriolis effect overcoming the steering from a high
pressure ridge. The official forecast keeps moving the track farther
and farther south so everybody needs to check the weather forecast
frequently. If you live in south Florida you might only have one day
to shop and prepare once the media starts sounding the alarm.