These globally averaged temperature data come from NASA:
http://www.giss.nasa.gov/data/update/gistemp/GLB.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering all the lands of the
Earth over the last 125 years. Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect. Unlike other weather and
climate data currently coming from the United States, no
government censors added 'spin' to this report.
The Mean January temperature over the last 126 years is 13.997 C.
The Variance is 0.13566.
The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.3683.
Rxy 0.654638 Rxy^2 0.428551
TEMP = 13.575548 + (0.006629 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 124 F = 92.992086
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.9999999999999999 (16 nines)
The month of January in the year 2005,
is linearly projected to be 14.411,
yet it was 14.85. -- 1.2 SIGMA above the linear
projection!
The sum of the residuals is 25.788452
Exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.575858 * e^(.0004751 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 25.716902 (Those who have followed this
item both closely and with an open mind will note that an important
trend continues here. The rest needn't waste bandwidth with their
trolling)
Rank of the months of January
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2005 14.85 0.853 2.32 --
2002 14.81 0.813 2.21
2003 14.80 0.803 2.18
1882 14.79 0.793 2.15
1998 14.64 0.643 1.75
1988 14.61 0.613 1.67
2004 14.58 0.583 1.58
1981 14.57 0.573 1.56
2001 14.57 0.573 1.56
1999 14.55 0.553 1.50
1932 14.52 0.523 1.42
1990 14.46 0.463 1.26
1992 14.45 0.453 1.23
MEAN 13.997 0.000 0.00
1900 13.54 -0.457 -1.24
1917 13.52 -0.477 -1.29
1892 13.49 -0.507 -1.38
1895 13.48 -0.517 -1.40
1911 13.48 -0.517 -1.40
1881 13.47 -0.527 -1.43
1918 13.47 -0.527 -1.43
1887 13.46 -0.537 -1.46
1904 13.45 -0.547 -1.48
1885 13.43 -0.567 -1.54
1894 13.38 -0.617 -1.67
1909 13.30 -0.697 -1.89
1891 13.22 -0.777 -2.11
1893 12.47 -1.527 -4.14
The most recent 146 continuous months, or 12 years and 2 months,
on this GLB.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1501 months of data on this data set:
-- 716 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 785 of them are below the norm.
This run of 146 months above the norm is the result of a warming world.
It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level of
confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or meteor
impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years, otherwise
expect it to continue.