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Old October 14th 05, 05:21 AM posted to sci.environment,sci.geo.meteorology
Roger Coppock Roger Coppock is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: May 2005
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Default SEPTEMBER HOTTEST IN 126 N. HEMISPHERE YEARS BY WIDE MARGIN!

SEPTEMBER WAS HOTTEST IN 126 N. HEMISPHERE YEARS BY A WIDE MARGIN!

Carbon fuel industry propaganda has taken a new turn. No longer
satisfied with telling a single lie at a time like they did a
few years ago, they now publish collections of lies. Meanwhile,
global mean surface temperatures continue to rise.

These hemispherically averaged temperature data come from NASA:
http://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata/NH.Ts.txt
They represent the results of tens of millions of readings
taken at thousands of stations covering the lands of the Northern
Hemisphere over the last 125 years. Yes, the data are corrected
for the urban heat island effect.

The Mean September temperature over the last 126 years is 14.037 C.
The Variance is 0.08163.
The Standard Deviation, or SIGMA, is 0.2857.

Rxy 0.659616 Rxy^2 0.435093
TEMP = 13.708439 + (0.005181 * (YEAR-1879))
Degrees of Freedom = 124 F = 95.505137
Confidence of nonzero correlation = approximately
0.9999999999999999 (16 nines)
The month of September in the year 2005,
is linearly projected to be 14.361,
yet it was 15.04. -- 2.4 SIGMA above the linear
projection!
The sum of the residuals is 20.956691

Equal weight exponential least squares fit:
TEMP = 13.711279 * e^(.0003706 * (YEAR-1879))
The sum of the residuals is 20.941469

Rank of the months of September
Year Temp C Anomaly Z score
2005 15.04 1.003 3.51 --
2003 14.81 0.773 2.70
1998 14.77 0.733 2.56
2002 14.68 0.643 2.25
2004 14.65 0.613 2.14
1995 14.58 0.543 1.90
1999 14.55 0.513 1.79
2001 14.55 0.513 1.79
1991 14.54 0.503 1.76
1937 14.50 0.463 1.62
1997 14.50 0.463 1.62
1987 14.49 0.453 1.58
1990 14.46 0.423 1.48
MEAN 14.037 0.000 0.00
1894 13.71 -0.327 -1.15
1903 13.71 -0.327 -1.15
1913 13.71 -0.327 -1.15
1972 13.70 -0.337 -1.18
1887 13.69 -0.347 -1.22
1888 13.69 -0.347 -1.22
1916 13.69 -0.347 -1.22
1964 13.69 -0.347 -1.22
1956 13.68 -0.357 -1.25
1889 13.67 -0.367 -1.29
1885 13.63 -0.407 -1.43
1904 13.49 -0.547 -1.92
1884 13.47 -0.567 -1.99
1912 13.26 -0.777 -2.72

The most recent 142 continuous months, or 11 years and 10 months,
on this NH.Ts.txt data set are all above the 1951-1980
data set norm of 14 C.
There are 1509 months of data on this data set:
-- 761 of them are at or above the norm.
-- 748 of them are below the norm.
This run of 142 months above the norm is the result of a warming
world. It is too large to occur by chance at any reasonable level
of confidence. A major volcano eruption, thermonuclear war, or
meteor impact could stop this warming trend for a couple of years,
otherwise expect it to continue.