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Old April 30th 04, 03:46 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Bernard Burton Bernard Burton is offline
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Default Rain

The QBO has a strict definition, which is as follows: A well-defined
oscillation of the zonal wind component in the equatorial stratosphere, the
period being about 27 months. It also known as the stratospheric
oscillation. The amplitude of the fluctuation is greatest at around 25 km
altitude, and decreases with distance from the equator.

It certainly does not apply to UK rainfall.

Don't you think that if there was a worthwhile correlation between the
rainfall in one year and the next, it would be resulting in successful
long-range forecasts for the next millennium?
--
Bernard Burton
Wokingham, Berkshire, UK.


Satellite images at:
www.btinternet.com/~wokingham.weather/wwp.html



"Alastair McDonald" k wrote
in message ...

"Joe" wrote in message
...
Hello All

It has been raining here in Wolverhampton, since Monday evening, and

with
the forecast for next week, being even more rain.

Does anyone think that this year will be like year 2000, where if I

remember
correctly, we didn't have a summer, it just rained, and rained and

rained !

Joe



Yes I do. There is a thing called the Quasi Biennial Oscilation (QBO)

which
could mean that 2000, 2002, and 2004 are all years with wet summers.
Anyway it seems reasonable to get a hot summer followed by a wet
summer.

Cheers, Alastair.