Yes but at least it gives as a reasonable likelihood and is realistic in
predictions, unlike forecasters who predict something is going to happen and
when it doesnt completely ignore the fact that it hasnt.

"John Hall" wrote in message
...
In article ,
Will Hand writes:
Prospects for haymaking:

Chance of 4 days completely dry weather at any one spot in England and
Wales is low at 30%. Scotland and Northern Ireland - zero.

It's a brave man who ever uses 0% or 100% probabilities in connection
with the British weather.
--
John Hall

"The covers of this book are too far apart."
Ambrose Bierce (1842-1914)