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This forecast represents the *PERSONAL OPINION* of the Chief forecaster at the
privately run Haytor meteorological office in Devon on how the weather may
unfold next week. The Chief forecaster will take no responsibility whatsoever
for any actions arising from its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of
freedom and the great love for meteorology that we personally enjoy and wish to
share freely with others.
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Summary valid for Sunday 25/06/06 to Saturday 01/07/07/
TOI (time of issue) Friday 22/06/06 0900 UK local time
This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX,
and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten
Confidence is moderate this week at 60% for all aspects of the forecast.
For the first half of the week (Sunday to Tuesday), all parts of the UK should
have spells of sunshine with light winds. 60% chance of some showers in the
south-east of England on Monday and some more general but light and patchy rain
getting into Scotland and Northern Ireland on Tuesday, mainly western parts. 20%
or less risk of showers elsewhere. Temperatures around average which is 20-25
deg C in southern Britain and 15-20 deg C in northern Britain.
Midweek (Wednesday and Thursday) 75% chance that all areas will be mainly dry
with spells of sunshine. Light winds with sea breezes on some coasts. Warmer
with temperatures up by 2 degrees or so from earlier values.
The end of the week has lower confidence, certainly a lot of dry weather on
offer but there is a tendency for pressure to leak away and that will encourage
scattered showers, some heavy with thunder. Staying warm with maximum
temperatures close to midweek values 18-23 deg C in the north and 22-28 deg C in
the south but more humid and more cloudy. Small possibility of more general rain
spreading to northern areas by the weekend. Winds freshening in the north but
staying light and variable in the south.
So to summarise, a lot of dry weather on offer again this week, especially in
the south, increasing water stress issues in some areas.
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Prospects for haymaking:
Chance of 4 consecutive days completely dry weather at any one spot in England
and Wales is 40%. Scotland and Northern Ireland - 30%.
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Prospects for *some* disruption to play due to rain at Wimbledon:
50% Monday and Tuesday
10% Wednesday and Thursday
30% Friday and Saturday
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Will Hand
Chief Forecaster
--
" COME ON ENGLAND!!! Roooooooonnney "
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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).
mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
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