On Tue, 11 Jul 2006 22:19:22 -0500, "Alexmcw"
wrote:
It looks as if the 2006 tropical storm-hurricane season is delayed compared
to last year - at least for the Atlantic.
If I could, I would like to weigh in on this subject.
For 30 years I have been studying the relationship between weather and
the tides. My interest in the subject began after reading articles in
both Time and Newsweek magazines in early 1974 about "Danger from the
Tides", articles written about the work of one Fergus J. Wood, a tidal
expert who worked for NOAA.
Wood's expertise was "tidal flooding" and he focused on proxigean
spring tides, that is the high tides that occur when the lunar perigee
coincides with the syzygy (new and full moons). Wood points out that
while we can't be sure that strong onshore winds will accompany high
tides (causing the flooding) a look at the times of past storms and
proxigean tides shows that stroms often accompany these high tides.
I call this hind-casting, that is mining a data base to arrive at
patterns that might be projected into the future.
My intent is not to get into a debate here, but rather to present to
the group something that I have written and posted to the net so that
others may follow along, so to speak, during the hurricane season, and
see how my ideas pan out.
What I have written is located he
http://web.newsguy.com/bigbytes/tides/tides.htm
On the first page there is a perigee/apogee calculator, and as you can
see the next tidal peak will occur Sept 7-8th.
On
http://web.newsguy.com/bigbytes/tides/tides3.htm I deal with the
2006 hurricane season. There I present two illustrations, each with a
sine wave, comparing the 2005 aand 2006 tides, and showing the timing
of the 2005 storms.
On June 1, University of Colorado climatologists Philip Klotzbach and
William Gray forecast 17 tropical storms in the Atlantic, nine of
which would become hurricanes. Five of these would be intense
hurricanes. The season is 26 weeks long, and we are a quarter of the
way through that with no hurricanes yet.
It has also been several weeks with no significant rain at my house in
Alabama.
I invite you to read, watch and listen to the news.
bigbytes at newsguy dot com