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Old July 30th 06, 10:21 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dave.C Dave.C is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2004
Posts: 1,242
Default Red Triangles and appalling forecast, revisited.


"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...

"Dave.C" wrote in message
.uk...

"Lawrence Jenkins" wrote in message
...
"Col" wrote in message
...

"Dave.C" wrote in message
.uk...
Well, as I alluded to last Friday the "first sustained rainfall for
the
S.E"
didn't happen. But last night's News 24 forecast at 12.30 a.m showed

rain
moving up from the South to cover Kent, Essex, Suffolk and South

Norfolk.
"This may linger all morning in the S.E and be heavy at times the

further
East you are before moving out in to the North Sea"
Didn't even get a mention this morning. There appears to have been
some
rain
on the Kent coast so maybe it was the graphics that were skewed but
the
commentary on them certainly gave an impression of widespread rain

across
the region. Not bad for an eight hour forecast

A wave feature on the front was forecast that simply didn't
materialise.
I believe these things are fickle and hence difficult to forecast.

Here, there wasn't as much rain as I thought. would happen yesterday
evening.
Iwasn't expecting anything particularly wet but I inspected the

ground
this
morning
and the soil was still dry barely a cm below the surface.

Today things have returned to sometthing more akin to an 'average'

summer
day,
if such a thing exists. Sunny start, the cloud building to give a

brief
but
sharp shower
around midday, but some sun again in the afternoon.
Temp has reached 22.0C, cool by recent standards but still a little

on
the
warm
side on average.
--
Col

Bolton, Lancashire
160m asl



Col, the Red Triangles of Doom have been in proliferation the last
month,
either for heat of for severe rain and thunder storms. Now it has been
hot
and it has rained, but as I said in a post several days ago (people

have
got
wise and now ignore me) SE England had it's own triangle amongst the

dozens
that cried disaster.

'South-East England:
Heavy Rain (the most dangerous type-wet!)Valid from
17:00'

That was the 26th. Now of course there was some rain but if Noah had

seen
that forecast he would have been down to Wickes and started on his

boat!
He
would have wasted his time though.

You say, in response to Dave C's "Appallingly forecast" thread

"I believe these things are fickle and hence difficult to forecast.

Well if that's the case, don't bleedin' forecast it then!

Nope my old axe that I grind is still this; the UKMO is increasingly
being
tweaked as a propaganda tool. In response the Met hasn't lost the
ability
to forecast but it has lost the ability to have the courage to give the
probability figures.
Now as Dave said it was a dismal without a 'bye your leave' mention

from
UKMO, forecast.

However this unholy alliance with the NHS and PCT's (god I hate that
acronym) acts as a diversion from health issues such as MRSA
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/health/4943496.stmMandeville

or the Stoke Mandeville hospital hygiene scandal

http://www.sundaymirror.co.uk/news/stotty/

Sorry only source I can find at present, scroll down too the second

article.

Is there a similar government warning system about these issues

There could be a level awareness system for hospitals along the lines

of
this.

Alert Level 1- Long waits in A&E
Alert Level 2- take twenty pound to pay for parking and be aware that

Car
could be towed away whilst visiting sick loved ones in hospital.

Alert Level 3 - Expect long delays for relatives and friends in

phoning
the
ward to find out how you are. This is due to an official secrets acts
screening process due to the very serious nature of confidentiality.
In addition if you try to circumvent this fatuous piece of NHS

posturing
called confidentiality, by using the new telephone bedside service;
please
ensure your home has enough collateral to cover the outrageous costs of

the
calls..

Alert Level 4- Very long wait in casualty make sure you take

sandwiches,
and
you've told neighbours you may be gone for a while, and finally make a

will.


Alert Level-4 High levels of MRSA plan for a one way trip only.


Now that's more like it.

D'oh! Now look what I've gone and done. Sorry to awaken you from your

tranquility. ;-(

Dave



You can't be held personally to blame Dave, but maybe, just maybe; you
should have undertaken a risk assessment first?


How glad I am to be rid of them! I remember once having to fill in the risk
from falling - and this was just for people walking around on the floor!
Then there was the NVQ Science student who asked me to help fill in the
questionnaire College had given him.
1. How is the building lit? Is it natural light or artificial light?
F*** me I thought, who wrote these questions?
Thanks for reminding me why I took voluntary redundancy.
Dave