Quote from latest discussion on Florence from the NHC:

FLORENCE HAS REFUSED TO STRENGTHEN WHILE IN THE TROPICS...LIKE MOST THE
SYSTEMS SO FAR THIS YEAR. HOWEVER...THE CYCLONE HAS THE OPPORTUNITY TO DO SO
AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AND NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH
DURING THE NEXT 2 TO 3 DAYS...AND BEFORE THE SHEAR INCREASES SIGNIFICANTLY.
THEREAFTER...IT SHOULD BECOME AN INTENSE EXTRATROPICAL SYSTEM. THE INTENSITY
FORECAST FOR FLORENCE SEEMS MORE UNCERTAIN THAN USUAL.

Does this bode ill for our weather? The T+144 UKMO and T+144 GFS suggest it
might...

As Darren would say "As ever, more runs are needed!"
--
Rob Overfield
Hull
http://talkingtoomuchagain.blogspot.com