Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Sunday. Issued 0531z,
13 September 2006.
The models continue to show unsettled weather pushing in from the west for
the weekend, but there are growing differences in the track of the
low/trough due to differenced in handling the ex-tropical remnants of
Florence. As ever, more runs are needed.
ECMWF:
http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif
WSW'lies cover the UK with a deep low to the NW. The winds become SW'lies at
T+144 as a secondary low moves ENE'wards, followed by stronger SW'lies at
T+168 with complex low pressure to the west.
MetO:
http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The MetO run shows a shallow low to the NW and light southerlies for the UK.
The winds become lighter still at T+144 due to a col over the British Isles.
GFS:
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
Complex low pressure is centred to the west, with SSW'lies over the UK. The
lows merge and deepen over Ireland at T+144, bringing stronger SW'lies for
England and Wales with SE'lies elsewhere. By T+168 the low fills over the
North Sea with SW'lies for the UK.
GEM:
http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
The UK lies under a trough, with southerlies for much of England and NW'lies
elsewhere.
JMA:
http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
Southerlies and SSW'lies cover the UK with low pressure to the west.
NOGAPS:
http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
Unavailable today.