Helene
BlueLightning wrote:
Very interesting latest discussion from NHC
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INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND DECREASING SSTS WILL LIMIT ANY
INTENSIFICATION TO THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...BEFORE SLOW WEAKENING
BEGINS AFTER THAT. HOWEVER...HELENE WILL BE PHASING UP WITH A
STRONG NEGATIVELY-TILTED MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IN 36-48 HOURS...WHICH
SHOULD HELP THE SYSTEM EVOLVE INTO A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW. IT
SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE GFDL MODEL STRENGTHENS THE EXTRATROPICAL-
HELENE CIRCULATION TO 108 KT BY 72 HOURS. WHILE THE INTENSIFICATION
PROCESS IS LIKELY BEING OVERDONE BY THE MODEL OVERDONE...IT IS
LIKELY A REASONABLE INDICATOR THAT HELENE WILL EVOLVE INTO A
FORMIDABLE EXTRATROPICAL LOW...PROBABLY STRONGER THAN THE
EXTRATROPICAL-GORDON CIRCULATION DID YESTERDAY.
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I bloody well hope the GFDL model overcooked that.
I bloody well hope you get a word processor. I find that sort of stuff
unreadable.
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