Thread: Helene
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Old September 23rd 06, 12:31 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Graham P Davis Graham P Davis is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2004
Posts: 4,814
Default Helene

Weatherlawyer wrote:


BlueLightning wrote:
Very interesting latest discussion from NHC
--
INCREASING VERTICAL SHEAR AND DECREASING SSTS WILL LIMIT ANY
INTENSIFICATION TO THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO...BEFORE SLOW WEAKENING
BEGINS AFTER THAT. HOWEVER...HELENE WILL BE PHASING UP WITH A
STRONG NEGATIVELY-TILTED MID-LATITUDE TROUGH IN 36-48 HOURS...WHICH
SHOULD HELP THE SYSTEM EVOLVE INTO A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL LOW. IT
SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE GFDL MODEL STRENGTHENS THE EXTRATROPICAL-
HELENE CIRCULATION TO 108 KT BY 72 HOURS. WHILE THE INTENSIFICATION
PROCESS IS LIKELY BEING OVERDONE BY THE MODEL OVERDONE...IT IS
LIKELY A REASONABLE INDICATOR THAT HELENE WILL EVOLVE INTO A
FORMIDABLE EXTRATROPICAL LOW...PROBABLY STRONGER THAN THE
EXTRATROPICAL-GORDON CIRCULATION DID YESTERDAY.
---

I bloody well hope the GFDL model overcooked that.


I bloody well hope you get a word processor. I find that sort of stuff
unreadable.


I have the same trouble with all your stuff.

--
Graham Davis
Bracknell