Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Sunday. Issued 0507z,
11 October 2006.
The runs continue to show a dry and relatively warm outlook for the UK, with
one notable exception. The GFS instead shows low pressure dominating the
scene, deepening as it moves slowly eastwards and resulting in wet and windy
weather for all. However, it receives no support from the other runs, so at
the moment dry conditions are more likely.
ECMWF:
http://85.214.49.20/pics/Recm1201.gif
High pressure covers the Baltic, with a ridge over the UK. Winds are
easterlies for England and Wales with southerlies elsewhere. A col brings
light winds for all at T+144, followed by northerlies for Scotland and
Northern Ireland at T+168 due to a ridge to the NW. Elsewhere winds remain
light due to a col.
MetO:
http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rukm1201.gif
The MetO run shows a high over Finland and easterlies across the UK. The
easterlies persist at T+144 as a ridge moves over Scotland.
GFS:
http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
A low covers Scotland, with a trough across Wales and the SW of England.
Ahead of the trough winds are SSW'lies and southerlies, with NW'lies
following behind. The low deepens at T+144, leading to stronger westerlies
and NW'lies. By T+168 the low continues to deepen, by now over the North
Sea. Winds remain strong westerlies and NW'lies over the UK.
GEM:
http://meteocentre.com/models/glb00_120.html
Unavailable at time of issue.
JMA:
http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
SE'lies cover the UK with high pressure over Scandinavia.
NOGAPS:
http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NGP also shows a large Scandinavian High, this time resulting in ESE'lies
for the UK.