"Will Hand" wrote in message
...
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This forecast represents the *PERSONAL OPINION* of the Chief forecaster at the
privately run Haytor meteorological office in Devon on how the weather may
unfold next week. The Chief forecaster will take no responsibility whatsoever
for any actions arising from its use. It is provided freely in the spirit of
freedom and the great love for meteorology that we personally enjoy and wish
to
share freely with others.
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Summary valid for Sunday 22/10/06 to Saturday 28/10/06
TOI (time of issue) Friday 20/10/06 1800 UK local time
This summary is based on a quick appraisal of the GFS, JMA, ECMWF, UKMO, FAX,
and ENS (NCEP ensemble) labelled charts available from the superb
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/topkarten
Well as hinted in last week's forecast when confidence on timing was low the
colder air is taking its time pushing south. However, I am still confident in
the sequence of colder air pushing south across Britain during next week, less
confident on when.
At least from Sunday to Tuesday it looks like we will have a continuation of
present conditions. that is, spells of rain, sometimes heavy, interspersed
with
drier interludes.
Winds generally light to moderate and variable in direction with continued risk
of fog at night, but also short periods of strong to gale force winds as a
frontal depression moves north up the western side Britain.
. Temperatures generally above average with
pockets of ground frost at night. However, on Tuesday it should turn colder in
northern Scotland with temperatures falling during the day up there.
On Wednesday and Thursday there is a risk of strong to gale force easterly
winds
in the south with heavy rain otherwise slowly turning colder from the north as
a
moderate north or northwesterly breeze sets in. As the colder air spreads
south
it should turn brighter with sunny spells and showers, showers mainly on
windward coasts and hills and turning wintry over the Highlands.
On Friday and Saturday pressure is expected to build and the weather should
quieten down and turn mainly dry with winds turning light. Spells of sunshine
by
day but with fog and frost becoming more widespread overnight, lingering into
the day in places. Temperatures becoming below normal ranging from 7C in
Scotland and the foggy areas to 11C in the southwest. Lower confidence in
southwest winds returning to Scotland later introducing milder air again and
spells of rain.
Will Hand
Chief Forecaster HMO/USW
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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).
mailto:
www: http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
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