I agree totally with your logic and prognosis, Peter. If December is
at or close to record warmth; then it may well set the tone for the
rest of the winter. We shall see. The glorious thing is no one knows.
I read some fantastic theories of vortices, sea surface temperature,
teleconnections, sun-spots, oscillations and so on. Trouble is; none
of these methods can claim any sort of reliable LRF success. If they
could, there would be little debate because we would know what to
expect. At least on this forum, one can use the 'mild' word without
fear of abuse.