Will Hand wrote:

As a postscript, if the high does topple away east later next week then you can
forget any cold weather until at least January and Christmas could well end up
exceptionally mild but wet in places. Also the Alps can forget about snow too,
as can most of Europe. So this week's developments are vital. Anyone know a good
snow dance? :-)

I'm always keen to see how the winter forecast pans out - so Jon
O'Rourke's set up a basic page where the daily GFS that verifies at 12z
Christmas Day can be compiled each day as we approach Xmas. Something I
recall doing on here a while back.

A bit of fun really, but also quite interesting as well to see just how
a forecast changes as verification time shortens (and to compare
against Mr W. Hill's odds !!).

http://www.metbrief.com/loop.html

At the moment: looks like a +ve NAO-ish phase !

Richard