In message , Will Hand
writes
12Z GFS Weds 13th is a step in the cold direction. i.e. high further to west
with good warm advection on western side helping to build it over the UK. More
changes to come no doubt, but a trend may be appearing? We shall see.
Still a critical few days ahead for snow lovers.
Ooom oom om in ya, ooom oom om in ya, ooom oom om in ya, .... :-)
Will.
--
"Will Hand" wrote in message
...
Well the pattern change I at Haytor Meteorological Office hinted at last week
in
the regular weekly forecast looks like happening! :-O
Over the weekend, pressure looks like building over the UK and lasting well
into
the following week. This will introduce temperatures around normal with frost
and possibly fog at night, and, more importantly, some dry weather. Although
northern areas won't be completely dry. No sign of any cold weather as the
pattern is still slightly progressive which means the high could subsequently
topple away to our east. But ... as with any change it won't take
much for the
upper atmosphere to develop the high to our west (as some runs are hinting)
thus
introducing a colder northerly and an interesting blocked pattern. The next
few
days will be critical for the outcome. But at least we will, one way or the
other get rid of this mild and wet SW'ly.
As a postscript, if the high does topple away east later next week then you
can
forget any cold weather until at least January and Christmas could
well end up
exceptionally mild but wet in places. Also the Alps can forget about
snow too,
as can most of Europe. So this week's developments are vital. Anyone know a
good
snow dance? :-)
Will.
--
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
-------
-
A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017 feet).
mailto:
www:
http://www.lyneside.demon.co.uk/Hayt...antage_Pro.htm
DISCLAIMER - All views and opinions expressed by myself are personal
and do not necessarily represent those of my employer.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
-------
Will, I have not heard of snow dances - so I have little knowledge
except your basic Ooom, Oom... etc.
Now it is all very well you living up a half mountain among sheep. Here
I may assume you can perform this ritual naked for maximum
effectiveness.
Unfortunately I live in the Uplands of Greetham and am therefore bathed
in street lights. I am not prepared to take the risk as some of my
neighbours seem hyper-sexed.
However as I agree with you on how critical the situation is I may
tightly draw the curtains, and shut all doors. I shall also have to
evict the moggy for the sake of decorum.
Then chanting the words I shall strip and dance around the coffee table
naked emitting the Ooom noises.
Should I perform this clockwise or in a more cyclonic pattern?.
I confidently expect positive results from global models in 24 hours,
but am concerned that they may not be able to react that quickly -
anyone down there at the NWPC give me guidance on the likely lag of me
girating the coffee table naked and the model output?
Cheers
Paul.
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS
www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather.
400FT AMSL 25Miles southwest of the Wash