Living in the area not sure I fully concur with the enthusiasm, a similar
deep low almost 2 years to the day killed 5 people and caused an immense
amount of damage.
Alan
www.carbostweather.co.uk

"Dave Wheeler" wrote in message
t...
03/01/2007 17:48:48
Will Hand wrote in message


Deep low 950-955 hPa moving east across northern Scotland late Tues
into Weds.
Hint of Atlantic upper contour wavelength lengthening, increasing
the chances of
cold air incursions from the north.
Fits in with earlier ideas of decreasing contour heights from
ensembles and a
possible stormy period which I mentioned yesterday.

Interest is back ON guys! I'm all a tingly now :-)

At least till the 18Z run :-)

Will.
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A COL BH site in East Dartmoor at Haytor, Devon 310m asl (1017
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Interest never really been away Will ... but a bit like the
proverbial carrot, with the prospect of an arctic outbreak apparently
always from day seven onwards! Certainly the GFX is offering great
promise for the middle of next week!
Unfortunately my statistical data (32 years) doesn't re-enforce this,
with the coldest period in January (for Fair Isle) tending to be
towards the end of January (27th). However as the 'cold' post-
Christmas singularity failed to show I'm hopeful that we could well
see winter however briefly!

Samuel Polson in his excellent analysis "Northern Weather Calendar"
(SIC 1984), suggests three cold January spells - 1st-9th, mid month
with a peak around the 18th, and a cold end to the month peaking
around the 30th (my 27th?).

Initial analysis suggests that this is the mildest December recorded
on Fair Isle since records began in 1974!
Dave
Fair Isle