In message , Will Hand
writes
Despite reservations from others, I'm still 60% confident of very cold air
coming into UK next week from the east.
Dynamics are still in place. Some model runs backing up these ideas e.g 12Z GFS
at T+120 range (which is getting closer). It will be different than the last
snow event, this time there will be a continual cold feed of air at low-level
from the continent, not a home-grown cold pool. If it comes off snow will be
more powdery and it will blow around more. Except in the SW, where it is still
likely to be mainly on hills with "western type" snow i.e. big wet
sticky flakes
accumulating rapidly above 200m asl.

OK if I'm wrong I'll be the first to admit it, but I haven't seen anything yet
today to change my mind. (I'm ignoring model details as NWP has trouble in
forecasting blocks).

Will.
Well Will, my beloved City are away at Walsall in 30mins and the TV is
breaking up, such is my sadness. GFS has returned to temporary cold
spell. And it is a joy to see. I cannot do a full model browse due to
PMT (Pre Match Tension). But will come back on this.
Cheers
Paul
--
'Wisest are they that know they do not know.' Socrates.
Paul Bartlett FRMetS
www.rutnet.co.uk Go to local weather.
400FT AMSL 25Miles southwest of the Wash