View Single Post
  #15   Report Post  
Old February 16th 07, 08:20 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Chris Smith Chris Smith is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Oct 2005
Posts: 344
Default Confidence 60% still in snow next week.

Will Hand wrote:
Despite reservations from others, I'm still 60% confident of very cold air
coming into UK next week from the east.
Dynamics are still in place. Some model runs backing up these ideas e.g 12Z GFS
at T+120 range (which is getting closer). It will be different than the last
snow event, this time there will be a continual cold feed of air at low-level
from the continent, not a home-grown cold pool. If it comes off snow will be
more powdery and it will blow around more. Except in the SW, where it is still
likely to be mainly on hills with "western type" snow i.e. big wet sticky flakes
accumulating rapidly above 200m asl.

OK if I'm wrong I'll be the first to admit it, but I haven't seen anything yet
today to change my mind. (I'm ignoring model details as NWP has trouble in
forecasting blocks).

Will.
--


I have a huge respect for you Will.

But I hope you are wrong. I'm travelling a lot next week - culminating
in a 200km bike ride on Saturday. Mild and calm would be better for me

Cheers
Chris