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Old February 19th 07, 01:40 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Dave Ludlow Dave Ludlow is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Feb 2005
Posts: 665
Default Confidence 60% still in snow next week.

On Sun, 18 Feb 2007 19:04:43 +0000, John Hall
wrote:

In article ,
John Hall writes:


I see that the 12:00 GFS ensemble has three members which bring the very
cold air into London in around a week's time, albeit only briefly in
each case. (Where by "very cold" I mean 850mb temperatures of -9C or
less. Another member bottoms out at about -5C.) Surprisingly, the
picture for Wick isn't that different.


Belay that. I don't know what I was looking at, but the chart has gone
now!


Yes indeed! I see that by Sunday, the GFS is siggesting a day max
temperature of 13 deg C over Southern and Central England although the
cold air (0 deg C max) isn't too far away... over Denmark and
Northern Germany.

Knowing how variable the GFS is at this range, all is not yet lost,
I'd say. But I won't be placing a bet on any more snow in the south
this Winter!

--
Dave