"Shaun Pudwell" wrote in message
...
"Gavin Staples" wrote in message
...
I wondered about how things were going with regard to CET's so
far for
June.
Philip, how does this compare with some of the really hot June's
ie June
1976? It is interesting to note that this is a full 1C more
than last
years which was the warmest June since 1976.

I think one has to be careful here as quite a few past June's have
started
hot, dry and sunny only to be replaced after mid month by cold and
wet
conditions. I have an awful feeling this could be one of those
years!

Yes, quite right. 1982 stands out because that is the only year when
the period 1-10 June was almost entirely occupied by a single warm
spell. The other moderately warm years, like this year, had one
short-ish warm spell or a few scattered warm days. June 1976's
high CET was largely a response to the massive heatwave between
June 22 and 30; it was running behind 2004 at this stage of the
month.

What I find striking about the figures is the sequence of really
cold years, esp wrt mean max, between 1986 and 1991.

It is unwise to try to draw climatic conclusions from a selected
10-day period taken over just 25 years ... meteorological
vagaries are liable to swamp any climatological trend.

1982 was an unusual summer. The rest of June was
exceptionally cyclonic except in northern Scotland where it
was exceptionally dry. July was anticyclonic/northerly ...
warmest and sunniest in western and northern Britain, but
often cloudy and cool in eastern England. The first half
of August was cyclonic/easterly which made it warm and
thundery with some very hot days in Shetland. The second
half of August was very westerly. I am not, of course,
suggesting for one moment that that is a template for this
year.

Philip Eden