Tudor Hughes wrote:
On Apr 12, 12:08 am, "Tom Allen" wrote:
"Gianna" wrote in message

...

snippit 3) A high probability of exceeding the average ... how high is high?

'At least 70 %' it says.

5) Where is the forecast for? The UK or England?
For the mean temps - 'Western Europe including the UK' it says
For an exceptionally hot summer - 'across the UK' it says.


I clicked on the link provided by the OP again just now, just in case I had gone
mad. I had not.

There is no mention in the release of the forecast being for the UK or anywhere
else.
There is no mention in the release of 70% in any context.

I quote:
"Met Office forecast for Summer 2007
The latest seasonal forecast from the Met Office issued today, reveals that this
summer is, yet again, likely to be warmer than normal.
Following the trend set throughout 2006 and the first part of 2007, seasonal
forecasters say there is a high probability that summer temperature will exceed
the 1971-2000 long-term average of 14.1 °C.
They also suggest the chances of temperatures similar to those experienced in
2003 and 2006 are around 1 in 8.
The forecast for rainfall is less certain, and currently there are no
indications of an increased risk of a particularly dry or particularly wet summer.
The Met Office forecast of global mean temperature for 2007, issued on 4 January
2007 in conjunction with the University of East Anglia, stated that 2007 is
likely to be the warmest ever year on record going back to 1850, beating the
current record set in 1998.
Through the summer we can experience periods of very hot weather which has
implications for people's health. The Met Office works extensively with the
Department of Health (DoH) to raise awareness of how we can protect ourselves in
hot weather.
Each summer the Met Office and DoH operate a Heat-Health programme aimed at
alleviating the effects of the hottest weather on vulnerable groups. During the
2003 heatwave there were more than 2,000 directly attributed excess deaths in
the UK and over 20,000 in France. Dr Tish Laing-Morton, Clinical Director at the
Met Office is clear about what the benefits of the service are, saying: “The
very old and the very young are particularly susceptible to extreme heat,
particularly when very warm nights prevent the body from recuperating from very
hot days. Also, people who suffer with breathing difficulties are likely to find
their symptoms heightened.”
The Met Office will issue an update of the summer forecast on 1 May 2007."


And for Col - I did read it properly - see above - did you? (-:

My points were meant to be taken together, particularly items 4, 5, and 6. If
that was not obvious, then I am in error for not making it so (corrected here).


--
Gianna

http://www.buchan-meteo.org.uk
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