Tom Allen wrote:
"Gianna" wrote in message
...
Tudor Hughes wrote:
On Apr 12, 12:08 am, "Tom Allen" wrote:
"Gianna" wrote in message

...

snippit 3) A high probability of exceeding the average ... how
high is high?

'At least 70 %' it says.

5) Where is the forecast for? The UK or England?
For the mean temps - 'Western Europe including the UK' it says
For an exceptionally hot summer - 'across the UK' it says.

I clicked on the link provided by the OP again just now, just in case
I had gone mad. I had not.

There is no mention in the release of the forecast being for the UK or
anywhere else.
There is no mention in the release of 70% in any context.

I quote:
"Met Office forecast for Summer 2007
The latest seasonal forecast from the Met Office issued today, reveals
that this summer is, yet again, likely to be warmer than normal.
Following the trend set throughout 2006 and the first part of 2007,
seasonal forecasters say there is a high probability that summer
temperature will exceed the 1971-2000 long-term average of 14.1 °C.
They also suggest the chances of temperatures similar to those
experienced in 2003 and 2006 are around 1 in 8.
The forecast for rainfall is less certain, and currently there are no
indications of an increased risk of a particularly dry or particularly
wet summer.
The Met Office forecast of global mean temperature for 2007, issued on
4 January 2007 in conjunction with the University of East Anglia,
stated that 2007 is likely to be the warmest ever year on record going
back to 1850, beating the current record set in 1998.
Through the summer we can experience periods of very hot weather which
has implications for people's health. The Met Office works extensively
with the Department of Health (DoH) to raise awareness of how we can
protect ourselves in hot weather.
Each summer the Met Office and DoH operate a Heat-Health programme
aimed at alleviating the effects of the hottest weather on vulnerable
groups. During the 2003 heatwave there were more than 2,000 directly
attributed excess deaths in the UK and over 20,000 in France. Dr Tish
Laing-Morton, Clinical Director at the Met Office is clear about what
the benefits of the service are, saying: “The very old and the very
young are particularly susceptible to extreme heat, particularly when
very warm nights prevent the body from recuperating from very hot
days. Also, people who suffer with breathing difficulties are likely
to find their symptoms heightened.”
The Met Office will issue an update of the summer forecast on 1 May
2007."


And for Col - I did read it properly - see above - did you? (-:

My points were meant to be taken together, particularly items 4, 5,
and 6. If that was not obvious, then I am in error for not making it
so (corrected here).


--
Gianna

http://www.buchan-meteo.org.uk
* * * * * * *

You may be confusing the press release with the forecast.
The former is distingushable by its loose use of language and such
laxity as allowing someone to choose the name they wish to be known by.
There is a link to the forecast in the press release.
Tom



Not me (-:
The OP was commenting on the press release, and provided a reference to it by
giving the URL.
I was replying to the topic of the thread, i.e. the press release, and it
remains, in my opinion, tosh.


--
Gianna

http://www.buchan-meteo.org.uk
* * * * * * *