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Old April 18th 07, 12:29 AM posted to sci.geo.meteorology
Bob Brown Bob Brown is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Dec 2006
Posts: 86
Default Cool April in Southeast....Global warming again

This below normal temps point only to one thing:Global Warming

We may already be entering a mini-ice age and not know it.

perhaps the computer models missed a variable or 100?

The NWS is LUCKY to get a 3-day forecast correct for a geographical
area the size of a small city. Why am I so worried about people
claiming a 3C rise in "global" temps from some of the same computer
modeling?

Computer models are great when you have fewer than a dozen variables,
with half being very static. Make the model try to predict something
with tens-of-thousands of variables, none having staticity, and your
error rate for a 100 year period goes to nearly 100%.

Political polls even have a margin of error and those only have 2
variables, maybe 3 if you consider that people will LIE to the
pollster.