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Old May 2nd 07, 11:45 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Norman Lynagh Norman Lynagh is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Nov 2004
Posts: 3,253
Default Updated MO summer forecast

In message , Martin Rowley
m writes
Not a great deal of change - the 'indications' of drier-than-average
conditions over southern Britain won't be welcome though after the past
8 weeks.

Martin.


http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/...007/index.html


The presenter of a "special report" on BBC TV News last night commenting
on this updated forecast said something along the lines of

"There's a 1 in 8 chance of a summer as hot as last year so we're
in for another really scorching summer"

The 7 chances in 8 that it won't be as hot as last year was completely
ignored. It would probably help if the Met Office forecast was a bit
more explicit, saying that it is unlikely that it will be as hot as 2003
or 2006. The forecast, as it stands, emphasises the unlikely and ignores
the likely.

Norman.
(delete "thisbit" twice to e-mail)
--
Norman Lynagh Weather Consultancy
Chalfont St Giles 85m a.s.l.
England