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Old May 3rd 07, 08:07 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Paul Hyett Paul Hyett is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: May 2006
Posts: 2,129
Default Updated MO summer forecast

In uk.sci.weather on Wed, 2 May 2007, Tudor Hughes
wrote :
On May 2, 7:13 pm, Paul Hyett wrote:
In uk.sci.weather on Wed, 2 May 2007, Martin Rowley
m wrote :

Not a great deal of change - the 'indications' of drier-than-average
conditions over southern Britain won't be welcome though after the past
8 weeks.


IMO, chaos theory makes any weather prediction much more than a week
ahead, not worth the paper it's written on.
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)


Chaos theory only applies to individual synoptic
systems. There are longer-term effects such as sea temperature
anomalies


Where's the best place to see them nowadays? I used to use FMNOC, but
that hasn't been updated in 6 months.

and the persistence or otherwise of snow cover.


Chance would be a fine thing...

It must
surely be noticeable that in a dry fine spell when one High moves away
another develops in its place.


Does it make a difference whether it's an old or new High?

How does SST affect blocking patterns, anyway?
--
Paul Hyett, Cheltenham (change 'invalid83261' to 'blueyonder' to email me)