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Old June 8th 07, 07:46 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Graham Easterling Graham Easterling is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jul 2003
Posts: 935
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Absolutely NOT I'm afraid. I am right on the edge of the 60% at risk area
and we got 1mm ! The rain was much further east than predicted and there was
virtually none in London and the eastern suburbs. Upminster 1mm, City
Airport - trace.


Dave, Laindon, S.Essex


Never mind Dave, you can be the one to predict these risk areas next. Then
we can say YOU got it wrong. Trying to predict these areas 12-24 hours in
advance cannot be very easy, even given the information on offer.


Dave never said forecasting was easy, he said they were wrong. As the
MetO said there was a 60% (as opposed to a say 30%) chance of
torrential rain in Essex (25-50mm - possibly 80mm) I can quite see
Dave's point.

Graham
Penzance