I'm off to the wolf centre soon, hence this shorter analysis.

Here is a summary of the latest NWP output for noon on Thursday. Issued
0501z, 17th June 2007.

By the end of the week all areas will be unsettled with low pressure over
the UK. It's unlikely to be cold over southern areas, but in any persistent
rain further north temperatures could be on the cool side. Over the weekend
the low will slowly move away, allowing NW'lies or northerlies to affect the
UK. Due to a combination of strong sunshine and cool air aloft, that's a
recipe for some beefy showers, especially in the north and west.

ECMWF: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...mwf/ecmwf.html
Low pressure is centred over over SW Scotland, leading to SSW'lies for
England and Wales with NE'lies over Scotland and northerlies for Northern
Ireland. The low moves away to the NE on day 6, allowing NNW'lies to affect
much of the UK. On day 7 NW'lies cover the UK as pressure builds to the
west.

MetO: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da...ukmo/pslv.html
MetO shows a low over Ireland and southerlies over much of England and Wales
as a result. NE'lies affect Scotland and Northern Ireland, followed by
northerlies for most on day 6 as the low moves away easteards.

GFS: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/pslv_frame.htm
As with the other runs, low pressure dominates the UK - this time, centred
over SW Scotland. SW'lies again cover England and Wales, with easterlies for
Scotland and northerlies for Northern Ireland. The low fills in situ on day
6, but by day 7 it fills to become a trough over northern England. To the
south winds are SW'lies, with northerlies and NNW'lies elsewhere.

GEM: http://expert.weatheronline.co.uk/da.../gem/pslv.html
The Canadian run brings a low over the Western Isles, leading to a mixture
of southerlies and SW'lies for most areas.

JMA: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rjma1201.gif
The Japanese run also shows southerlies for most with low pressure over
Eire.

NOGAPS: http://85.214.49.20/pics/Rngp1201.gif
NGP brings a low to the NE of the UK, with NW'lies as a result.