View Single Post
  #9   Report Post  
Old July 16th 07, 01:19 AM posted to uk.sci.weather
Tudor Hughes Tudor Hughes is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: Jan 2005
Posts: 4,152
Default UKMO has turned SE England into a red maelstrom

On Jul 16, 12:01 am, "Adam Lea" wrote:
"Col" wrote in message

...







"lawrence jenkins" wrote in message
. ..


Of course I read


"Scattered heavy thunderstorms will bring torrential downpours to some
places during this
afternoon and the first part of this evening. 15 to 20mm of rain is
possible, much of which could fall in a short space of time."


They just love turning the whole country red whether it be rain, fog,
heat or snow. No doubt soon there will be a red warning for boring
weather. I can see it now.


They do seem to reach for the red crayon and start colouring in the
entire country like mad much more than they used to.
However they must surely know that in even the most severe event
only a relatively small proportion of the country is seriously affected.
For example there is a severe weather warning out at the moment
for NW England for heavy rain. And what happened?
We've had a few hours of light/moderate rain. Nothing remotely
approaching 'severe weather' in any way shape or form.
And the rain is clearing away now.


Met Office crying wolf as usual.
--


I don't see what else they can do with regard to thunderstorms. Since it is
not possible to predict exactly which areas will get a torrential downpour
they either have to give a warning for a regional area, which inevitably
means a lot of people in the warning area will escape, or not bother, which
could cost lives if a severe event does occur and people are not prepared.
It is the same reason why US hurricane warnings are issued for stretches of
coastline about five times larger than the area that is ultimately affected
by the core.

It seems to be a feature of this countries population to constantly
criticise people who have to make difficult, but crucial decisions when I
suspect such people haven't a clue what it is like to actually be in that
situation in the first place.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Well said. Everybody on this group, and quite a good
proportion of the general population, knows that areas that
experience torrential rain during a thundery outbreak are a small
fraction of the total area. All the forecasters can do is say "There
will be thunderstorms. If you are unlucky ( lucky?) enough to catch
one it may well be quite severe". There have been thunderstorms.
Down the pub tonight I was told of hail and torrential rain locally
yet I, 7 miles away, had no precipitation at all even though there was
quite a lot of thundery activity. It's true that the Met Office does
overdo the Severe Weather Warnings but they got this one right, at
least for the SE.

Tudor Hughes, Warlingham, Surrey, 556 ft.