In message , "Tom @
HollyLodge" writes
What are the chances of a good thunder/lightning storm for the
worcestershire area?
any ideas welcome

Practically zero as always. The weather sites seem to like to tease us
in the Worcester and Malvern area by saying for days that thunder is
likely, and then the day before they said it would happen they change
their minds to tell us it's going to be sunny or a little bit overcast.
This has been the pattern throughout the summer.

Simon