On Aug 1, 5:07 am, matt_sykes wrote:
On 31 Jul, 21:59, Roger Coppock wrote:

Unfortunately,
small changes in the models can lead to a broad range of outcomes,
inviting debate over the actual causes of climate change.

So you admit the models are useless?

I especially appreciate the line in the article which refers to "the
subjective flaws of climate models". It, and the one you quote, are
the wisest comments I recall Roger ever posting. And I agree with
chemist's description of the new analysis as be less than
comprehensive. The UK folks who have been denigrating Piers Corbyn's
'Solar Weather Technique' for years continue to point to analysis of
solar irradiance changes instead of looking at the particle flux,
which Corbyn emphasizes as key. The Guardian published a letter from
him last week, in part predicting periods of heavy flooding Aug 5-9
and Aug 18-23. --
http://environment.guardian.co.uk/cl...133167,00.html

More info in Mr Corbyn's company's news release of July 26:

NEWS RELEASE Issued 26th July 2007

Weather Action writes to Gordon Brown:
Heavy rain and Flooding to continue in England and Wales.
Serious risk of flooding in London in August

Weather Action have written to Gordon Brown - letter attached
- warning him that - contrary to advice from the Met Office - that
rather than improve within a few days or early August the rain and
flood crisis in England and Wales will worsen and continue for another
month and that there is a serious risk of flooding in London.

In his letter Piers Corbyn spelt out the most serious weather periods
from late July:

22nd-26th July, 5th-9th August and 18th -23rd August and also warns
that in these periods that Met Office computer models will under-
estimate severity of rain, thunder and wind (even from only 12 hours
ahead).

On the flood risk for London Piers writes; "The High tides associated
with the New moon on 12th August and the Full moon on 28th August mean
that with the heightened level of the Thames during and in days
following these very wet periods in the South there is serious risk of
flooding in London" . He also issued this warning on CNN
International on 25th July.

Weather Action has 90% confidence in their long Range forecasts which
have been correct through the summer while the MetOffice long range
forecast for a warm or very summer which could posibly reach 100F and
'no indications of (a) partcularly wet summmer' have spectacularly
failed.

In his letter, which is closely argued and includes web link reference
which enable the public to follow, Piers points out that
the suggestion that the floods are in any way evidence of man-made CO2
Climate Change or Global Warming are 'absurd' and have no logical
scientific basis even in terms of the IPCC's own Summary for Policy
Makers.

He criticises Sir David King the Government's Chief scientific
adviser, for 'staggeringly' choosing not to explain on TV that this
weather is a consequence of a shift in the jet stream - and that such
shifts are known (links to USA's nasa space science web given) to be
related to changes in the the particle and magnetic activity of the
sun.

Piers points out that the causes of these very wet periods originate
on the Sun and indeed his predictions of a new geomagnetic activity
and an active region on the sun to appear along with the bad weather
period (eg for late June) appeared when predicted - confirming his
prediction issued publicly at the Institute Of Physics on 7th June..

"If man's CO2 is really the cause of the bad weather then man's
acivity must be changing what is happening on the Sun. The idea that
man's CO2 is causing these events on the sun in totally barmy" Piers
said today.

He writes in the letter: "CO2 centred theory has no power to predict.
It is faith rather than reliable science"

Other press release and information available on request

Thank you

Weather Action, Delta House, 175-177 Borough High Street. London SE1
1HR
Tel +44(0)20 7939 9946 Fax +44(0)20 7939
9901 E:
From: Piers Corbyn 07958713320 (or office above)

--- END OF QUOTED NEWS RELEASE

Very truly,

Steve Schulin
http://www.nuclear.com