Hi Martin

In article ,
"Martin Rowley" wrote:

wrote in message
...
snip
The question is this:

Taking the stormy weather that is apparently going to hit southern
England later on today as an example, does barometric pressure drop
some
time in advance of the weather changing? And if so, how far in advance
can this happen?

... there are no hard and fast rules for this (in terms of how far in
advance etc.), because it depends to a large extent upon the type of
system (low pressure) producing the change. However, I think we could
say to answer your first question that the pressure will fall 'some
time' in advance of the rain/high winds etc., without fear of criticism
(*) ... the problem is the second part of your question:
[(*): but falling pressure does NOT _automatically_ mean bad weather -
but that's another question for another day.]

He, he - yes,I suspected that there might be rather more to it

For example, lets say the weather has been 'stable' in an anticyclonic
sense (fine, dry weather - usually plenty of sunshine) during the summer
/ early autumn. Day to day the pressure will vary slightly, but
generally not by much. Then a 'major' change in the overall (or
'broadscale') pattern is expected - the famous 'jetstream' changes
position, or the strength of same changes, or whatever, and the high
starts of drift away and decline. At your *particular* location, the
pressure will start to fall steadily, BUT, it may be 2 or 3 days before
all the ingredients are in place to produce rain, wind etc.

Aha, OK - that makes sense....

Now, think of an already 'disturbed' spell in autumn / winter, when
we've perhaps had several depressions crossing the country, and the next
one is a real hum-dinger! The pressure will/may recover (rise) behind
the last low (but only for a short time), but then fall (at an
increasing rate) ahead of the next one: however, the 'warning' from the
fall of pressure may be a matter of hours, not days - for a small (but
potentially vicious) low, perhaps 9 to 12hr, for a larger 'classic'
depression, up to 24hr.

Yes, I understand....

For small disturbances like troughs, then it could be as short as 2 or 3
hours.


OK...

Hope that helps ... not a nice 'clean' answer, but it does demonstrate
how 'rules' based upon pressure change alone can collapse. You need to
factor in wind direction, change in speed, character of sky etc., as
well. Used to be called 'Single Observer Forecasting', and with
practice, you can get quite good at it.

That helps a lot - thanks very much indeed for the nice clear
explanation. I imagined that the answers could get quite complex but
that answers my questions nicely

All the best


Ruth