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Old October 11th 07, 07:49 PM posted to uk.sci.weather
Ron Button Ron Button is offline
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First recorded activity by Weather-Banter: May 2004
Posts: 972
Default From the Times today...

I like your reasoning John,it falls nicely between Al Gore and our
Lawrence....

RonB


"John Hall" wrote in message
...
In article . com,
Richard Dixon writes:
Msnip report from The Times
Mr McCallum said that only "flat-Earthers" refused to believe that the
world was in the grip of climate change and that global warming would
mean more stormy weather.


That seems very contentious. The former is I believe true, but the
latter has yet to be shown to my satisfaction.

Matt Huddlestone, a climate scientist with
the Met Office, expects storms like that of October 1987 to become
increasingly familiar as global warming intensifies. He said: "Climate
change is unequivocally impacting on our environment. We've already
seen an increase in extreme storms over the UK in the last 50 years.


Have we? What's his evidence for this having happened or that, if it has
happened, it was any more than chance? If there were, by his definition
of an "extreme storm", two in the last fifty years but none in the fifty
years before that, then anyone with even a rudimentary grasp of
statistics would know that this proves nothing.

It's expected that there will be continual changes into the future.
There will be stronger pressure gradients driving more storms in our
direction, with stronger winds."


One could argue that, since the Arctic seems to be warming more rapidly
than areas further south, the temperature differential will be decreased
and the intensity of depressions will diminish. Presumably that isn't
what the models are suggesting though.
--
John Hall
"Honest criticism is hard to take,
particularly from a relative, a friend,
an acquaintance, or a stranger." Franklin P Jones