On Nov 20, 6:37 pm, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote:
"Richard Dixon" wrote in message

...



On 20 Nov, 14:28, "Dave Cornwell"
wrote:

If it reverts to a NW'ly toppler I will continue to doubt the accuracy of
the GFS model for this situation at this range.
Dave

Oh yes - I was just playing fantasy 7-day forecasts. I often lay
weight to the longer range forecast if there's an agreement between
the models, but whose to say that they're not all wrong.

Already the midday 1s and 2s forecast for next Monday have been
replaced by 5s and 6s with the thrust of the colder air further east.

Move along now, nothing to see here !

Richard

-----------------------
The thing is Richard, if we know that happens every single time with that
set up why doesn't the very expensive computer model?

Dave- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


What have I been saying. How can these models can give us something
as rare as a similar set up to say 62/63 and then revert back to the
default set up zonal is beyond me. It's the ECMWF turn tonight. As I
said, fantasy scenarios that have never happened . Have the models
been forced to undergo diversity training?